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Real Grass?

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We may have a target date for real grass in Rogers Centre. The Jays sent out a press release saying that Rogers Centre and the Toronto Argonauts have signed a deal to keep the Argos playing at Rogers until December 31, 2017. The Argos can opt out early (but there is nothing there that says that Rogers Centre can opt out early. And it says:

The parties involved have agreed that no licence renewal past that date is contemplated.

There is a quote from Paul Beeston:

The length of the deal allows the Argonauts a reasonable period of time to pursue other stadium options while allowing us sufficient time to plan the logistics of various stadium improvements including the installation of a grass playing surface for baseball at Rogers Centre.

So we have a date for when we might have grass. Yay.

The CEO of the Argonauts Chris Rudge said

The Argos look forward to the process of developing and implementing a plan for a new home for the team while we continue to be a cornerstone tenant of the stadium that has been our home since its opening in 1989.

Now, if the Argos play there until the end of the 2017 CFL season, I very much doubt all the work needed to make Rogers Centre a place that green green grass can grow could be completed by the start of the 2018 baseball season. It seems like there would be a lot of work involved. Drainage would have to be figured out, which would mean tearing out a good part of the floor of Rogers. New lights would have to be put in. And, of course, soil and grass.

I don't know where the Argos might go. Building a new stadium for a team that only plays 9 or 10 home games, a year, doesn't seem very cost effective to me. I can't imagine the tax payers of Toronto or Ontario would be thrilled to foot the bill for that. And I can't see the team putting out that kind of money.

But, even though it seems a long way off, at least we have an idea on when the Jays could be playing on real grass, like God and Doubleday intended (yeah, I know, Abner Doubleday didn't invent baseball)(and, obviously God doesn't get involved in it either, or the Red Sox wouldn't be having such a great season).

More from Bluebird Banter:


Blue Jays 3 Red Sox 6: Let's drink.

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Blue Jays 3 Red Sox 6

So ummm that happened. And I don't that much want to talk about it.

The Jays must hold some sort of record for finding new and inventive ways of getting injured. Colby Rasmus heads out on the field, towards his position in center and Anthony Gose throws him the ball, so they can start warming up. Only Colby wasn't ready for it and took it in the face and had to leave the game. Seems like Gose is the school yard bully and wanted to play CF. Either get out of his way, or you'll get hurt. I hope I don't have to point out that I'm joking, but I guess I just did.

Poor guy, he felt so bad.

Rasmuswarmupthrow_medium

via sports.cbsimg.net

Anyway, Esmil Rogers had an awful start. If he's wanting a job in next year's starting rotation, he didn't help himself. He went just 2.1, allowed 3 hits, 5 walks, 2 earned with 2 strikeouts. It could have been so much worse. He walked in a run, and then was pulled with the bases loaded. Chad Jenkins came in and got a quick double play, saving Rogers' ERA. Jenkins looked very good, 3.1 innings, 2 hits, 1 walk, no runs and 1 strikeout. I wouldn't mind seeing him get a start, but Gibby has made it clear he's not giving anyone a spot start.

Aaron Loup came in to get the last out of the 6th inning, he could have stayed in the game longer. Neil Wagner started the 7th and wasn't good, giving up 4 hits, before leaving with the bases loaded. Jeremy Jeffress got a nice 6-2-3 double play but gave up a single to Mike Carp, costing Wagner 2 more earned runs. Darren Oliver gave up another run in the 8th.

On offense, well, bits and pieces of it was good. Rajai Davis was 2 for 4 with a double and stole 2 bases, giving him 44 this year. Brett Lawrie drove Rajai home after he had stole 2nd and 3rd. Adam Lind hit a 2-run, pinch-hit home run. Mark DeRose had a couple of hits.

On the negative side, we had 2 on and 1 out in the 2 and didn't score, Gose ground out and J.P. Arencibia struck out (surprise) to end the inning. Then in the 4th we loaded the bases, with no one out, and we didn't score. Gose hit into a double play and JP, well you know. In the 7th, after Lind's homer, we got 2 on, but JP struck out. I can't figure why Gibby didn't pinch-hit there.

JP did make contact once, he ground out in the 7th inning.

He's just a mess right now. I mean, he's not a great player, but he isn't as bad as he's looked in the past month or so. Honestly, it looks like he is just closing his eyes and swinging.

Tonight's 3 strikeouts give him 144 on the season, tied with Adam Lind's 2010 (it took Lind 613 plate appearances, 478 for JP) season for the 8th most strikeouts in a season in team history. He needs 16 more, in our last 9 games, to break Jose Canseco's team record.

Jays of the Day are Jenkins (.214 WPA) and I'm giving one to Lind, even with the .059 WPA, because I figure a 2-run home run is worth it.

Suckage JP (-.223), Gose (-.251), Wagner (-.168) and (.153).

It was a nice game thread, for a terrible game, 475 comments from 22 of us. Stealin' Home led the way, great effort in a losing cause.

#Commenter# Comments
1Stealin' Home65
2MjwW63
3Tom Dakers59
4Homer Unking42
5Belisarius39
6ABsteve39
7Kraemer_1732
8e&n4e31
9JaysSaskatchewan29
10fishedin21
11MookieG15
12St.Sniper11

Oh, the Red Sox clinched first. Whoopie.

Who Are Ya: Clay Buchholz Post Injury

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Quick look at Clay Buchholz as he makes his third start since coming back to Boston after his lengthy DL stint. In his two previous post-injury starts he's gone 11 innings allowing no earned runs and striking out nine batters. His ERA now sits at a ridiculous 1.51. It's unfortunate (not really) that his great season was sidetracked by inflammation in his pitching arm.

Since he's returned from the disabled list, the right hander has mainly thrown fastballs, sinkers, and cutters with a few curveballs and changeups thrown in for good measure. His hard stuff is still sitting in the low 90's with good movement, which may or may not be helped by a foreign substance on his arm. Here's how his movement has looked since coming back:

S2emfxw_medium

Here's a cool GIF that shows how his increased sunscreen use has helped his wicked cutter (click on the link if there's problems):

Buchholzcutter_w_medium

via www.fangraphs.com

For the "Find the Link":

Find the link between Clay Buchholz and his 34-year-old Texan starting rotation mate for the Red Sox.

Enjoy the game! Or the rest of the good summer weather!



Blue Jays put Colby Rasmus on DL

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The headline says it all,  the Jays have placed Colby Rasmus on the DL ending his season.  Apparently there is no 'structural damage' to Colby's eye,  but all his season is finished.

We  should run a  contest to guys how many more Blue Jays will hit the DL before this season mmercifully ends.

Blue Jays 4 Red Sox 2: Mark Buehrle clears 200 innings for the 13th straight season

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Blue Jays 4 Red Sox 2

Another really nice start for Mark Buehrle. At the start of the season, I couldn't imagine watching him pitch 200+ innings, he was so bad, since then he's been terrific. He is sitting at 200.1 innings, getting over 200 inning for the 13th straight season. And he picks up his 12th win of the season. He's been in double digits in wins for the same 13 seasons.

Buehrle went 6, allowed 5 singles, 0 walks, 1 earned run (which really should be charged against the plate umpire) and 5 strikeouts. Hit had a hit batter, Shane Victorino, on a pitch that was a strike, but the plate umpire blew the call. Leaning over the plate, to get hit by a pitch, is something that would have bough you a pitch in the ear in the old days. Oh well.

Our bullpen did a great job. Dustin McGowan gave up an unearned run in his inning, Brett Lawrie whiffed on a ground ball he at him. Sergio Santos pitched a terrific clean 8th inning. And Casey Janssen struck out 2 in the 9th, picking up his 33rd save.

To be fair, the Red Sox hitters were likely hung over.

Didn't get much offense, but enough. 9 hits on the day, 2 for Brett Lawrie, one each for every other starter except our DH Munenori Kawasaki. Well, Kawasaki did have a single, the first base umpire just missed it. He was clearly safe at first, and then he was ejected for throwing his helmet into the ground after the call. Clearly the umpire was intimidated by the 5'3" Kawasaki. Kidding, he's listed at 5'10", which is likely only an inch or two of an overstatement.

We scored 3 runs in the 4th inning. With 2 outs, Lawrie singled, Adam Lind doubled him home. Singles from Moises Sierra and Rajai Davis scored Lind. A wild pickoff throw from Clay Buchholz allowed Sierra to score.

We picked up an insurance run in the 8th. Davis walks, Anthony Gose bunted him to second and, what damn near rates as a miracle, J.P. Arencibia hit a ball hard off the 'Green Monstah' for a single, driving in Davis. JP's hit would have been a home run in a normal ballpark. That was JP's first RBI since September 7 and his 2nd RBI of the month. He's due for a hot streak. JP also didn't strikeout today, the first game that he's started and hasn't struck out since September 10th.

I'm not sure which was the bigger surprise, JP's hit or Kawasaki's ejection.

We were also caught stealing 3 times, Reyes, Lawrie and Gose were all caught. Obviously Red Sox catcher David Ross didn't drink as much as the rest of the Red Sox.

Nice that we could hand Buchholtz his first loss of the year, his record drops to 11-1.

Jays of the Day: Buehrle (.262 WPA), Santos (.153), Lind (112), Janssen (.108) and Davis (.109).

No suckage Jays. Kawasaki had the low mark at -.079, but some of that belongs to the first base umpire.

We had a nice, if slow starting, GameThread. 19 of us put up 369 comments. I led the way. Yay me.

#Commenter# Comments
1Tom Dakers76
2MjwW63
3e&n4e40
4Kraemer_1738
5Belisarius35
6Stealin' Home30
7Goldenhawk9920
8fatpuppy13
9Siefert13
10watchman_13

The Rage of Kawasaki Sunday September 22, 2013 Links

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GAME RECAPS

Toronto Blue Jays deal Boston Red Sox’s Clay Buchholz first loss of season | National Post
AP's recap: Clay Buchholz lost for the first time this season, and the AL East champion Boston Red Sox rested a couple of regulars

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox - September 21, 2013 | MLB.com TOR Recap
Mark Buehrle surpassed the 200-inning plateau for the 13th consecutive season while leading the Blue Jays to a 4-2 victory over the Red Sox with another masterful performance on Saturday night at Fenway Park.

JAYS LINKS

Why Alex Anthopoulos feels ‘guilty’ about the Blue Jays’ season | National Post
This big blue machine was a mess from the start; guys got hurt, guys started slow, guys threw the ball around like it was a live salamander. The problems were everywhere.

The Blue Jay Hunter: Flashback Friday: Vernon Wells' Walk-Off Home Run Against Mariano Rivera
Memories, Like the Corners of my mind...

Hum and Chuck: There Is Still Good in the Blue Jays World (Apparently)
After my baseball best friend, Edwin Encarnacion, was placed on the DL for the remainder of the season, I contemplated giving up completely on the season. I didn't feel like reading about anything, I didn't feel like listening to games on the radio and I sure as hell didn't feel like writing about it. I mean, Munenori Kawasaki was the DH.

Gregg Zaun on Blue Jays: ‘I’m not paid to sugar-coat reality’ | Toronto Star
Sportsnet analyst opens up about his criticism of Jays and discloses he was once disciplined for comments made about GM Alex Anthopoulos.

Blue Jays’ Colby Rasmus out for season after ball in face | Toronto Star
Centre fielder becomes eighth player from Jays’ opening-day roster to finish season on the DL.

MLB AND DUMB CELEBRATION LINKS

The Worst of the Best: The Week(s)’s Wildest Swings | FanGraphs Baseball
Some very ugly swings as per usual.

The Worst of the Best: The Week(s)’s Wildest Pitches | FanGraphs Baseball
A Couple of weeks of futility. Anthony Gose was on the receiving end.

Writer’s View: The Best Players Not in the Hall of Fame | FanGraphs Baseball
Good news for Rock Fans.

Jonny Gomes Punts Beers, Hits Old Guy In The Dome
The Red Sox clinched the A.L. East last night against the Blue Jays and engaged in the usual champagne-and-beer-spraying celebration. Fun times. Jonny Gomes added to the fun by kicking beer cans all over the place and apparently hit an old dude in the stands. Looks like he got him pretty good, too.

Watch as the Dodgers anger the Diamondbacks by celebrating in their pool | National Post
The Dodgers insist they meant no disrespect, but that pool in the right field corner of Chase Field is as close to a landmark as the ballpark has.

Note: Old Man yells at cloud.

The best rookies of the ‘80s
A moonwalk down memory lane, remembering the top rookies of the decade when video killed the radio star.

TODAY IN STEROID AND SERIOUSLY PEOPLE WHAT THE HELL IS MATTER WITH YOU HISTORY

Baseball History September 22nd - National Pastime - Baseball History
1987 Chicago sends Dickie Noles to the Tigers for a player to be named later. A month later the right handed pitcher is returned to the Cubs as that player to be named later. Note: Noles gave up the last Jays Game Winning hit of the season, a bases loaded triple to Juan Beniquez in the bottom of the 9th in one of the most exciting Jays games ever. And that was it, except for the seven straight losses and lots of tears.

1998 The Blue Jays' Jose Canseco hits his 45th and 46th home runs setting a new career high.

2005 An American Society of Microbiology's study of the number of people who wash their hands after using a public restroom reports 83 percent of patrons take advantage of the available soap and water. Of the 6,300 bathroom users monitored, the worst hygiene was found at Turner Field during a Braves game where approximately a quarter of the patrons (37% male and 16% female) did not wash their hands after using the facilities. Note: Eeeewwww.

Blue Jays 2 Red Sox 5: Home runs hurt Dickey again

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Blue Jays 2 Red Sox 5

Not a bad start for R.A. Dickey, without the 2 wind aided home runs, it would have been a very good start. He had an 8 inning complete game, allowing 6 hits, 5 earned, 1 walk and 11 strikeouts. R.A. is second to A.J. Griffin in home runs allowed in the AL, with 33, 2 behind Griffin's 35. Maybe it's God's way of saying he doesn't like people going by initials, maybe it makes the paperwork harder for Him.

Many of the strikeouts came after the awful call at second back when David Ortiz was throw out at second but umpire Manny Gonzalez placed himself right behind Ryan Goins, who was making the tag, so he couldn't see the play and just guessed that Ortiz was safe. Just awful umpiring. Manny had plenty of time to get into proper position, he just didn't. It was pretty telling that Goins' glove was still between Ortiz's foot and the bag until after the call.

Dickey was pissed off, and 10 of his 11 strikeouts came after that play.

On offense, like has happened way too much this year, we didn't do enough. Just 6 hits, 2 for Kevin Pillar, 1 each for Rajai Davis, Moises Sierra, Ryan Goins and Josh Thole. All singles except for Pillar's 2nd career home run and 2nd home run that he slid into second before finding out that it was a home run. You'll have to hit us a no-doubter before the season ends.

Rajai also had his 45th steal of the year, a steal of third in the 8th inning, with us down by 3. One of those steal I hate, because it had nothing to do with trying to win the game, but I guess, Rajai will be looking for a contract soon, putting up stats won't hurt that.

We did have some good defense. Goins made a terrific play on that tag on Ortiz and also made a great play on a hard hit ground ball, gotta love his defense. The 233/.250/.314 slash line isn't as impressive. The Jays have some decisions to make this off-season. Pillar also made a nice catch in right field and Moise Sierra made a catch in left on a ball that both Brett Lawrie and Jose Reyes figured would go foul, but that ended up 20 feet into fair territory.

Jay of the Days is Pillar for his .172 WPA.

Suckage, Dickey has the number (-.201) but he pitched pretty well. Reyes (-.154, 0 for 4 with a k) and Lind (-.129, 0 for 4 with a k).

Tomorrow the Jays make up for a rained out game, and losing an off-day, by traveling to Chicago. Since the game means nothing to either team, they could just skip it.

We Know the Fire Awaits Unbelievers: Stop Complaining About Rajai Davis Stealing Third Base

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The other day, Rajai Davis stole third base with two outs. This tends to drive fans (and announcers) bonkers because it means the runner has put himself at risk of being thrown out on the basepaths even though he was already in scoring position. Maybe it's just my contrarian nature but I disagree with this widely held viewpoint.

I love to see guys like Rajai Davis steal third with two outs because -- and I'll admit that my gut feeling is purely anecdotal -- it seems like they're almost always successful. I think it bothers the pitcher (particularly righthanded pitchers who might see Davis dancing around third base) and the catcher, knowing that the slightest mistake on a ball in the dirt could now let in a run. Now, while there is a certain degree of truthiness to that statement, it's going to be pretty difficult to tease any of those effects out of a large, noisy dataset in any statistically meaningful way. So let's just go with what we know.

The marginal value of being on third rather than second with two outs is much smaller than the marginal win value of being on second rather than first. Here is a Run Expectancy Table courtesy of an excellent article in the Hardball Times.

image

What this essentially means is that stealing second with two outs increases run expectancy by about one tenth of a run while stealing third increases it by around half that. On the flipside, being caught stealing third decreases run expectancy by 0.32 runs whereas being caught stealing second decreases run expectancy by 0.22 runs; thus the reward is around 50 % as valuable at an added risk of around 50 %. All told, depending on the game situation (score, inning, etc.) the break-even rate should be somewhere between 80 and 90 %. In 2013, Rajai Davis has stolen third base successfully 13 times and been caught once. There was one out when we he was caught. Over his career, he's stolen third base successfully 78 times and been caught seven times. Six of those times were with one out.

Yep, over his career, Rajai Davis has been caught stealing third with zero outs or two outs just one time. He's stolen it or been part of a double steal 34 times. Stop complaining. Rest assured, he knows more about baserunning than we do.


Which of the August Call-ups Has Been The Most Impressive?

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During August, four players were called up to the Blue Jays in quick succession from the AAA Buffalo Bisons. One was a top centre field prospect with question marks in Anthony Gose, and the three others were thought to be AAAA players in the form of Moises Sierra, Ryan Goins, and Kevin Pillar. Every one of them has things to fix if they want to stay on the 25-man roster next year, but there has been some positives as well.

Anthony Gose

The former top-5 prospect has had a rough couple years in the big leagues and people seem to be starting to questioning whether he was a bust that didn't live up to his tools. He's made some adjustments to his swing and since being called up in mid-August he's hit .260/.268/.438 with two home runs. The book on Anthony is that he always strikes out too much and that's still part of the problem for him. There's also the issue of only having one walk in 98 plate appearances since being recalled, which is J.P. Arencibia territory. His speed is supposed to be a big plus, but he's only 3-6 stealing bases since the promotion.

On the plus side, his defense is still good enough for the middle of the diamond and saves him from being a huge liability in the lineup. He's probably running out of time to make a big impact with the organization and a Rajai Davis type of fourth outfielder hitting from the left side may await him.

Moises Sierra

Sierra was never considered much of a top prospect in the outfield, but his ceiling of a fourth outfielder may actually be within reach for the 25-year-old (as of tomorrow). He's hit .307/.367/.511 with a single home run since coming from Buffalo. He's walked nearly 10% of the time and has reduced his strikeouts from last year, but is being pulled up by a .382 BABIP.

On the other side of the coin, his defense still isn't great and his decision making on the field is horrible at best:

Sierra-fall-2_medium

via 3.bp.blogspot.com

Sierrastopsign

via cdn0.sbnation.com

Ryan Goins

Goins has impressed people with his play at second base and might have the best chance of a starting job next year in Toronto. He is only hitting .233/.250/.311 with one home run, which is good enough for a wRC+ of 49. His defense has helped him to stay in the lineup and a future as a soft hitting second baseman may in store for the left-handed hitting Goins.

Kevin Pillar

It's been a rough ride for the first time big leaguer in his two month stay in Toronto. At times, he's looked dreadful at the plate and his long swing has made easy work for pitchers. His line of .192/.253/.301 echoes these sentiments, although a .235 BABIP doesn't help.

His defense has been fine, but a lot of players can provide adequate outfield play for the Blue Jays and hit above the Mendoza Line meaning Pillar must work on his hitting this off-season. Unfortunately for Toronto, Pillar may be another player with a fourth outfielder ceiling waiting in Buffalo until injuries pile up with the big league club.

Personally I have no idea which of the call-ups has the most promise going forward, but sticking with the tools of Anthony Gose might be the wisest decision at this point. How about you?

Poll
Which call-up has been the most impressive?

  352 votes |Results

Who would you like to play second base for the Blue Jays next year?

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We've spent a lot of time talking about our catcher and our troubles at the position. Let's talk about second base and our problems there for a bit.

We need someone to play second next year, or there will be a lot of grounders bouncing through to the outfield. Our in-house choices:

  • Maicer Izturis. Maicer will be on the team, because of the three year contract he signed and because he can play (or at least stand at) all of the infield spots. I guess I'm ok with him as a back up, but if he's our regular second baseman, I'll be very unhappy. This year he's been awful defensively and offensively. By Fangraphs, he has the worst WAR in baseball at -2.1 (though Adeiny Hechavarria has a shot at beating him out, he's at -2.0 and still playing). He hit .236/.288/.310 and played defense, well you saw it, terribly.
  • Munenori Kawasaki. He's been a lot of fun, but he hasn't hit that much, .222.319/.303. His defense looked pretty good and UZR agrees, saying he has a 5.4/150, as much as it seems like he make errors at the worst possible moments, he also seems to get hits at the best possible moments. I'd like him more as a utility infielder than an everyday player. But if it is him or Izturis, I'd take him anytime at second base anytime.
  • Ryan Goins: Ryan's not hitting much either, .233/.250/.311, in 26 games, which might be about his ability level with the bat. With the glove, he's been amazing. UZR has him at 41.6/150 (ok, small sample size causes problems for UZR). He has been so good defensively that I kind of feel I'd live with his bat. But then, we couldn't live with John McDonald's bat at SS, and I think Goins would be lucky to hit as well as McDonald.

Free agent possibilities:

  • Alexander Guerrero. The Cuban that the Dodgers were rumored to be offering $32 million for 5 years. He hit .290/.402/.576 with 21 home runs in 328 plate appearances last year in Cuba
  • Robinson Cano. Yeah right, not a chance.
  • Chase Utley. Phillies are trying to extend his contract and talking $13 million a year. I don't see us signing him. But he's hitting pretty decent, .281/.345/.481, with 18 home runs.
  • Brian Roberts. He'll fit in nicely on out DL.
  • Omar Infante. Hitting .317/.344/.449 this year, I doubt that will happen twice in a row but plays decent defense.
  • Kelly Johnson. Ummmmm no.
  • Skip Schumaker. Good bat, poor glove. No thanks.
  • Stephen Drew. He's only played SS before. .263/.329/.434 career batting line.
  • Jhonny Peralta. He hasn't played second before either. He had a really good year with the bat, .305/.361/.461.
  • Brendan Ryan. I had happy thoughts of his defense, though kind of wasted at 2B, but he doesn't hit at all, .238/.300/.321 career.

Trade possibles (guessing who Alex might trade for is a foolish thing but there are a couple of guys:

  • Gordon Beckham. Another that hasn't hit a lot, .269/.323/.369 this year, but played decent defense, 0.7 UZR/150, but I tend to think of him as a little bit better than that. I'd have to think the White Sox might not be against moving him.
  • Dustin Ackley. He hasn't hit much for the Mariners, in his 3 season, but his .246/.315/.355 batting line would look pretty decent on our team. Also he'd be in a better park for batters.
    So, do you have someone you would like to see in the middle of the Blue Jays infield next year?

White Sox 3, Blue Jays 2: Making the most of a makeup date

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Neither team involved in tonight's makeup game needed to make it up, but the White Sox found a way to make it useful nevertheless.

Marcus Semien -- who wasn't around when the Sox and Blue Jays were rained out on June 12, making this one necessary -- certainly belonged in this one. He hit a two-run shot for his first career homer, and when paired with a solo shot by Avisail Garcia, it gave Jose Quintana a well-deserved victory. On top of that, by going 7⅓ innings, Quintana now has a decent shot of reaching 200 on the season, as he finished tonight with 193.

Granted, the Sox should've beat Toronto by far more than one run. J.A. Happ didn't happen to have a whole lot, especially after the Sox realized that he didn't have a breaking ball he liked.

They struggled to come up with the big two-out hit. Garcia stranded two in the first with a strikeout. Paul Konerko left them loaded with a weak lineout in the second. Josh Phegley's can of corner stranded runners on the corners in the third. Konerko couldn't bring home a runner on second, grounding out to end the fourth.

Yet the Sox did enough to stay ahead throughout. Semien started it in the second inning by crushing a Happ mistake (an 0-2 fastball after two fastballs, and one he didn't elevate enough) just inside the left-field foul pole for a two-run shot. After J.P. Arencibia started the fifth with a solo shot, Garcia answered with a backspin-laden opposite-field homer to lead off the sixth, making it a 3-1 game.

The insurance run came in handy when Quintana ran out of gas in the eighth. He gave up a first-pitch double to Kevin Pillar, then missed twice on two-strike high-fastball attempts to Ryan Goins. Goins fouled off the first one, but he lined the second one to left for an RBI single.

Dayan Viciedo kept it from being an RBI double by cutting it off, and that was the first of two nice plays that changed the complexion of the inning. Quintana faced one more batter, and thwarted Anthony Gose's sac bunt attempt by throwing to second for the force.

Quintana departed in favor of Matt Lindstrom, who gave up a single on the only pitch he threw. Robin Ventura then called on Donnie Veal, who got Adam Lind to ground out to third, but weakly enough to move the runners 90 feet. In came Nate Jones, who shook off Saturday's disaster with a groundout to escape the jam.

Addison Reed followed Jones' lead, working around a leadoff walk to record his 39th save out of 62 victories. It preserved Quintana's ninth win, and he certainly did enough, limiting the Jays to two runs on five hits and a walk, while striking out six.

Record: 62-94 | Box score | Play-by-play | Highlights

Blue Jays 2 White Sox 3: J.P. Arencibia homers in a losing cause

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Blue Jay 2 White Sox 3

Well, when you have teams playing a makeup game, late in the season, when both have long since been eliminated from any shot at the playoffs, you don't expect a great game. And this wasn't a great game. But then White Sox manager Robin Ventura managed the last 2 innings like it was a playoff game, using 3 relievers to get the last 2 outs of the 8th.

J.A. Happ struck out the side, around two singles in the first inning. The second inning didn't go so well, he gave up a 1-out, 2-run home runs to someone named Marcus Semien (who's name Buck couldn't pronounce when the game started). After that he gave up a single and 2 walks, and it looked like he was in for a short start. In the 5th inning he gave up a solo homer to Avisail Garcia, to start things off. He didn't have a 3 up, 3 down inning in his 5, but I guess the good part is he only game up 3 runs. It could have been a lot worse.

In all, 5 innings, 8 hits, 3 walks, 5 strikeouts. He wasn't impressive, and that's against a team that's 62-94, playing a handful of September call ups.

Jeremy Jeffress pitched the 6th and 7th innings and was very good, 0 hits, 1 walk, 2 strikeouts. He has a 1.35 ERA in his handful of major league innings this year. I'd like to think he's earned a good look next spring. Steve Delabar pitched a clean 8th with a strikeout.

On offense, we didn't do much, 6 hits, 2 of them from Ryan Goins.

J.P. Arencibia hit a solo homer to lead off the 5th. Then in the 8th, Kevin Pillar led off with a double and Goins singled him home. That was it for our scoring. Moises Sierra did lead off the 9th with a walk. Moises has a nice batting line, 307/.367/.511 in his 29 games in the majors this year.

It's nice to see JP hit a homer, he looked so lost at the plate. His batting average is still under .200 at .196. I hope, for his sake, he can have a little hot streak to finish off the season. He also made an error on a softly hit ball, he had a hard time picking the ball up after it stopped rolling, seemingly getting in too much of a hurry, when he didn't need to be rushing.

Ryan Goins gets JoD for his .115 WPA. I'm giving an honorable mention to Jeffress.

Suckage goes to Lawrie (-.221, 0 for 4), Gose (-.181, 0 for 3, k) and DeRosa (-.109).

Series Preview: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays, 24-26 September 2013

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Well, it was still a little bit fun, until yesterday. A fifth consecutive loss all but mathematically eliminated the Orioles from the playoffs, but more importantly, they lost Manny Machado for the foreseeable future. There may well be more news on that front by the time this publishes, but for now, our thoughts and prayers are with him.

Here are your matchups for this now very inconsequential meeting with the Blue Jays:

Tuesday, 24 September: Chris Tillman vs. Todd Redmond
Career NumbersTillman vs. Blue JaysRedmond vs. O's
IP56.010.1
ERA4.183.48
FIP5.633.97
Slash Line (Past Teams).252/.308/.490.184/.244/.395
Slash Line (Current Players).260/.305/.390.189/.268/.405

Tillman's career numbers against Toronto aren't great, but this year he has a 3.86 ERA against them (and a less-flattering, but better than what's above, 4.85 FIP). His last outing versus the Jays was just ten days before this one, and he took the loss despite pitching a solid enough four-run, eight-inning complete game. To win, he'll probably have to pitch at least that well again, considering the extended funk the offense was in until yesterday.

Redmond shut down the O's on 13 September, going 6.1 innings and allowing just one run, with seven strikeouts and no walks. Over the year, he hasn't usually gotten deep into games, but he's also rarely let the game get out of his teammates' reach. Hopefully, since he isn't a lefty, last time was a fluke, and the O's will be able to take advantage of his flyball tendencies (just 31.1% groundballs) in Camden Yards.

Maybe hot:Brett Lawrie (.900 OPS, 10 PA)

Likely not:Adam Lind (.558 OPS, 26 PA)

Wednesday, 25 September: Bud Norris vs. Esmil Rogers
Career NumbersNorris vs. Blue JaysRogers vs. O's
IP-16.2
ERA-2.70
FIP-2.56
Slash Line (Past Teams)-.219/.265/.344
Slash Line (Current Players).263/.349/.368.297/.338/.438

Norris has never faced the Blue Jays, and continues to underperform his peripherals, mostly thanks to a high BABIP (.369). I didn't like the trade the Orioles made to acquire him, and he hasn't impressed this year, but at least there's a silver lining to the situation. Norris last appeared in the O's ridiculous 18-inning game on Friday; hopefully that won't have thrown him off of his game for this start.

Rogers last opposed the O's on the 14th, putting up a bare-minimum quality start in a game the Jays eventually won. His other appearances against Baltimore have all been in relief, and he's acquitted himself quite well in those. Rogers has had some struggles as a starter, but he hasn't been significantly better as a reliever, which is probably why he's still in Toronto's rotation.

Thursday, 26 September: Miguel Gonzalez vs. Mark Buehrle
Career NumbersGonzalez vs. Blue JaysBuehrle vs. O's
IP41.0125.2
ERA3.513.29
FIP4.054.11
Slash Line (Past Teams).224/.270/.395.260/.301/.409
Slash Line (Current Players).292/.333/.444.291/.332/.439

Gonzalez pitched well against the Jays back on the 15th, going just 5.1 innings thanks to a groin strain but allowing just one run. Buehrle actually started for Toronto in that game as well, so this is something of a rematch, and looking at the numbers, it's a pretty good matchup. Gonzalez struggled with his control against Tampa Bay on Saturday, walking five, but still managed a quality start.

Buehrle's just been doing this thing in Toronto, putting up 200+ innings of average or slightly better pitching. He's thrown 200 or more innings every year since 2001, and in only one of those years has he been worse than league-average according to ERA or FIP. I wonder what it's like to have one of those guys on your staff...

Maybe hot:Nick Markakis (1.194 OPS, 40 PA), Adam Lind (1.243 OPS, 18 PA)

Likely not:Michael Morse (.235 OPS, 17 PA), Brett Lawrie (.297 OPS, 14 PA)

There is no such thing as a "winning" player or a "losing" player. - Earl Weaver

Tuesday Bantering: Links

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Down to the final 6 games. If we can beat the Orioles, once or twice, we can knock them out of the playoffs. We don't have much to cheer about, we might as well enjoy that.

Anyway just some random notes:

  • Moises Sierra has been hitting surprisingly well, .297/.363/.495 and walking a reasonable amount of the time (9.8% walk rate). I'm starting to think I wouldn't mind him as platoon partner for Lind at DH/fourth outfielder. He has reverse splits in his short time (.333/.397/.500 vs. RHP, .226/.294/.484 vs. LHP) but I'd imagine that's just a small sample size issue.
  • The Globe and Mail has a story on the work Alex Anthopoulos has to this off-season,nothing in there we don't already know.

On paper it had power, speed and strong starting pitching, but Anthopoulos's 40-man roster lacked the depth to insure against injury or unexpectedly poor performance.

I kind of expect no team would have the depth to handle the injuries we've had. I don't know if we would have won without all the injuries, but the season would have been different if Brett Lawrie and Jose Reyes hadn't missed so much time at the start. And, I'd imagine, the tumor around Melky's spine likely did slow him down a fair bit. How much is anyone's guess, but he had been a decent outfielder before this season.

  • Members of the 1994 Montreal Expos will have a reunion at one or both of the Blue Jays exhibition games in Montreal. I guess you have to be my age to remember, but 1994 Expos were about the best team in baseball and would have gone to the playoffs, had baseball not decided to lock the players out. I still think that, had they finished that season, there would still be baseball in Montreal. One of the 45 things I'll never forgive for which I'll never forgive Selig.
  • Brendan Kennedy wonders why Kyle Drabek and Ricky Romero aren't getting a start, as the season winds down. Gibbons has a good point, a start now really wouldn't be a fair test, and it might be best not to put a start, that either one really set up for, into our memory banks. As much as I would like to see Kyle get a start.

"You throw them in for a start and they're really not geared for it," said manager John Gibbons. "They haven't been on a steady routine, so it's probably unfair to judge them that way."

. Saltalamacchia is my early pick for the player most likely to get a deal that shocks everybody -- not because he's unworthy of a large multi-year deal, but because the scarcity of catching around the game means he and Brian McCann are both headed for significant paydays.

Multi-year deal makes it unlikely that it will be the Jays that sign him.

Then they all turned into pumpkins. Hafner hit .167/.249/.286 after April and has spent almost the whole second half on the DL. Wells has hit .225/.266/.309 after April and still managed to approach 500 plate appearances. And Overbay, who might still top 500, has a .238/.300/.354 line since May. Despite their hot starts, the three veterans have combined for a grand total of 0.4 WARP.

Blue Jays minor league awards

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The Jays released the names of the players that won their Webster Awards, their award for  top players at each level of their minor league system.

Buffalo Bisons

Ryan Goins wins. He is the 26th Blue Jay to win 2 or more Webster Awards, he was New Hampshire's winner last year. Goins hit .257/311/.369 with 6 home runs, 22 doubles, 46 RBI and 3 steals in 111 games. Not exactly earth shaking numbers, but then we've seen his defense.

New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Brad Glenn. He hit .264/.334/.459 with 17 home runs, 28 doubles, 69 RBI, 44 walks and 104 strikeouts in 111 games as an outfielder for the Fisher Cats, before moving up to Buffalo to play 18 games for them. He led the team in slugging, doubles, and RBI. Second in average and home runs.

Dunedin Blue Jays

Jon Berti. Jon hit .250/.338/.323 with 3 home runs, 5 triples, 18 doubles, 44 RBI  and 56 stolen bases in 128 games, playing mostly second base. He was voted the top base running prospect in the Florida State League, by Baseball America.

Lansing Lugnuts

Dwight Smith, Jr. Dwight hit .284/.365/.388 with 7 home runs, 17 doubles, 46 RBI and 25 stolen bases in 109 games, playing mostly LF with some CF. He led the team in batting average and OBP and was second in runs and stolen bases.

Vancouver Canadians

L.B. Dantzler. He hit .302/.385/.504 with 9 home runs, 20 doubles, 35 RBI in 59 games, mostly has a first baseman. LB was a 14th round draft pick in 2013. He was second in the league in BA and OPS. First in home runs.

Bluefield Blue Jays

Matt Dean. Matt hit .338/.390/.519, with 6 home runs, 14 doubles, 8 stolen bases and 35 RBI in 63 games, mostly at first base. He left the Appalachian League in batting average and OPS.

Gulf Coast League Jays

Franklin Barreto. He hit .299/.368/.529 with 4 home runs, 6 triples, 16 doubles, 19 RBI and 10 stolen bases, in 44 games, mostly at shortstop before moving up to Bluefield. He led the league in extra base hits.

Dominican Summer League

Miguel Castro. He had a 5-2 record, a 1.36 ERA, in 11 games, 10 starts. 40 hits, 12 walks and 71 strikeouts in 53 innings, before moving up to GCL and then Bluefield.


Blue Jays @ Orioles lineup and game preview

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This is the first game since August 9, 2012 (Manny Machado's major league debut) that someone other than Machado will start at third base. That someone is Ryan Flaherty. There are six games left and the Orioles have no shot at the playoffs, and they have to be feeling pretty lousy right now. People are saying that they don't care if the Orioles win any more games this season, but I am not one of those people. I want the Orioles to go out on a high note. They are better than what we've been seeing and I don't want to go into the off season on such a sour note.

Tonight they play the Toronto Blue Jays in the first game of their last home stand of 2013. I, for one, would like to see a sweep.

Lineups

Orioles
1. Brian Roberts (S) 2B
2. Nate McLouth (L) LF
3. Adam Jones (R) CF
4. Chris Davis (L) 1B
5. Matt Wieters (S) C
6. Nick Markakis (L) RF
7. J.J. Hardy (R) SS
8. Dan Johnson (L) DH
9. Ryan Flaherty (L) 3B

Blue Jays
1. Jose Reyes (S) SS
2. Munenori Kawasaki (L) DH
3. Brett Lawrie (R) 3B
4. Adam Lind (L) 1B
5. Moises Sierra (R) RF
6. Anthony Gose (L) CF
7. J.P. Arencibia (R) C
8. Ryan Goins (L) 2B
9. Kevin Pillar (R) LF

Starting Pitchers

Chris Tillman will make his 32nd start of the season tonight. Over the first 31 he has a 3.70 ERA, which is decent, and a 4.47 FIP, which is not. This will be his fifth start of the year against the Jays, which seems a little absurd. In his first four he has pitched 25 2/3 innings with a 3.86 ERA. The Orioles have gone 3-1 in those games. The one loss came on September 14th and Tillman pitched an eight-inning complete game.

Todd Redmond is starting for the Jays. This will be Redmond's third time facing the Orioles this season. Back on September 13th he pitched 6 1/3 innings with just three hits and one strikeout. Hopefully the Orioles do better this time.

Happy Birthday John McDonald

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John McDonald turns 39 today.

I wish I could feel happy for him getting to the playoffs and all, but you know, it's with the Red Sox. I like him, I like Brian Butterfield, but I can't feel happy for them. I saw a Red Sox fan on Twitter tell Joanna from Hum and Chuck that women shouldn't be commenting on sports yesterday, and it reminded me how much I dislike Red Sox fans.

John McDonald has had a pretty amazing career for a guy with a life time .235/.273/.326 slash line. How do you play 15 years with a bat like that. Well, for one thing, you have to be pretty amazing defensively. I asked Brian Butterfield about Mac.

Last year in Seattle we watched fielding practice in Seattle before the game and John McDonald is out there to the very end. That's why he's so good at it?

That's exactly right, he's the best I've ever been around, I've told this to several people in the game, he has the best work ethic and gets himself into the right position better than any infield that I've ever had and I've been blessed to be around some great ones. And it's not a mistake for me when he makes a play in the hole that brings the house down. I don't get as excited because it's something I expect from him because it's something he's rehearched so many times. He's rehearsed going into the hole and getting the ball in the air as quickly as he can. He rehearses it. He rehearses it at game speed. When you look at him after he is done taking ground balls he's got a lather, he's tired and he practices defense quickly at game speed the way you should. He's the best.

I watched McDonald take infield practice several times. I always enjoyed watching him practice, he goes so hard at it and he makes sure he throws every ball straight over top, not side arm, not 3/4. He is a great defensive player, not because he was gifted with great talent (though he has that) but he also works so hard.

That was part of why we liked him so much. We kind of got the feeling we could be McDonald, if, you know, we did all that work. Course, none of us are going to do that much work, but still.

Anyway, he played 7 seasons for us, and was a big time fan favorite, even though he was never a regular. We do tend to like the backups, it is harder to blame them for losing.

I think the other reason he has had such a long career, despite his bat, is that he  is a good guy. Every one seems to like him. When you see players players who's career last longer than you would expect from his numbers, generally are good guys. It is a pretty good life lesson, you want to last a long time in a career, be a good guy. I mean skill works too, but being someone that everyone likes? That can never hurt. When his playing career is over, I'm sure there are a number of teams that would gladly give him a job to coach.

When Cito was here, he worked on Mac on his batting and had him going all out pull. And it kind of worked for a bit. He hit 6 home runs, in 152 at bats, in 2010. I watched him in batting practice, pulling balls down the right field line, over and over. He had a great month, hitting .382/.417/.765 with 3 home runs, in 34 at bats, in August that year. After a bit, pitchers saw what he was doing and started giving him pitches that were harder to pull. In September he hit .200/.222/.300, but I still think it wasn't a bad idea for Mac, the 6 home runs he hit that season, the most he hit in his career and, I think, Cito, in time,  would have helped him figure out what to do with the outside pitches.

I was less thrilled with Cito using McDonald in the outfield, that didn't work so well.

His 'Father's Day' home run is one of my all-time favorite Blue Jays memories.


Happy birthday, John. Congratulations for making the playoffs, I wish it wasn't with that particular team, but glad you are happy. Enjoy your birthday.

Other Jays have their birthday today: Moises Sierra (25), Kevin Millar (42), Paul Spoliaric (43), and Jim Acker (55).

Orioles 2, Blue Jays 3: Bats stay quiet; Francisco Rodriguez is himself in extra innings; O's lose sixth straight

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Before Tuesday night's game, the Orioles received merciful news in the form of Manny Machado's knee injury turning out to not be as serious as things initially looked. Manager Buck Showalter carried that spirit of mercy into the game, when, after nine innings of regulation, the game was still tied. Following Friday's 18-inning marathon, he must have wanted to make sure that neither the players nor fans would have to sit through that many innings. He summoned Francisco Rodriguez for the tenth inning, who did what he does. The Orioles lost their sixth straight game, a 3-2 defeat in ten innings.

The loss, combined with a dramatic walk-off win in Cleveland, officially eliminated the Orioles from postseason contention, sticking a fork in the 2013 season with five games still to play. This is a sad occurrence, though it does beat the heck out of what we saw two years previously. Maybe they will even win one of the final five games to make it back-to-back winning seasons.

What else can be said about Rodriguez? He is not good at what he does. He has one job, get batters out, and tonight he faced six of them and only got three of them out. He gave up a walk to Jose Reyes, who scored the go-ahead run in the tenth, and two hits, with Mark DeRosa dealing the deathblow.

To be fair to Rodriguez, there was a chance to pick off Reyes, when he had Reyes dead to rights on a throw to second, but Brian Roberts could not apply the tag to Reyes as he dove back for the base. Replays were inconclusive on whether Roberts tagged Reyes on the rib or shoulder before he actually touched the base, but he whiffed at first, and that was what the second base umpire saw. Naturally, this run came around to score two batters later.

Wind the clock back to the eighth inning and we find another instance of an Orioles pitcher and fielder combining to fail to execute on what should have been a scoreless inning. Kevin Gausman, entering in relief, allowed a leadoff single to Reyes, who advanced to second on a sacrifice by Munenori Kawasaki. A wild pitch that, on a good day, Matt Wieters would have corralled, put what was then the tying run on third.

Showalter brought in Brian Matusz to face lefty Adam Lind with two out. Blue Jays manager John Gibbons put in DeRosa to counter the advantage. Matusz induced a weak fly ball to right from DeRosa. Nick Markakis was unable to run down the ball, which was not particularly shallow nor particularly close to the foul line. A player needs to make that play. Markakis did not, and the tenuous lead held by Chris Tillman was spoiled.

Tillman, pitching in search of his 17th win of the season, turned in a strong performance Tuesday. It was a shame to have it wasted. He pitched seven innings and only gave up a single run, with the Jays getting five hits and one walk as Tillman struck out nine. That tied his career high, reached three previous times, once each against San Francisco, Oakland, and New York. Tillman also crossed 200 innings pitched for the first time in his career.

The 200 inning season for Tillman is only the seventh such season by an Orioles pitcher since Mike Mussina was no longer an Oriole. With a 3.62 ERA after Tuesday's start, he could turn in the best ERA of any of those other seasons. The others belonged to Sidney Ponson (2004), Rodrigo Lopez (2005), Daniel Cabrera (2007), and Jeremy Guthrie (2009-11).

Even the lone run Tillman allowed was due to an unfortunate play in the field. Lind opened up the second inning with a single and ended up on third base when Anthony Gose hit a double with one out. The Gose double was one that should have been a single, except it took a bad bounce and Nate McLouth overran the ball in left field. Men on first and second became men on second and third.

Tillman nearly escaped with no damage, inducing a grounder by Ryan Goins. He stabbed at the ball as it went past him and it deflected off of his glove, with J.J. Hardy unable to get to the new trajectory, field the ball, and throw to first in time. Goins just beat the throw in a bang-bang play and the run scored.

The only thing that passed for offense in the game for the Orioles was Roberts and McLouth hitting back-to-back home runs to lead off the third inning, taking what was then a 2-1 lead. They were not cheap, with Roberts homering 386 feet to right and McLouth hitting a 382-foot blast onto the flag court. That was the seventh home run of the season for Roberts and the 12th for McLouth.

They had eight other hits in the game, ten in all, but were 1-6 with their chances with runners in scoring position, and the one hit did not score a run, because it wasn't hit hard enough and Wieters was the runner on second. When you get to the Dan Johnson-Ryan Flaherty tandem, you've escaped the threat, and that was what happened in that situation.

The Orioles scored only two runs off of Blue Jays starter Todd Redmond in 5.2 innings, despite getting eight hits and two walks while he was in the game. The two runs both came on the home runs. There was no margin for mistakes, and many mistakes were made. That cost the Orioles in their sixth straight loss.

The six-game losing streak ties together with a streak of six straight games in which the Orioles have scored four or fewer runs. Once again, the pitching staff, even with the bad plays and bad luck, was more than good enough, giving up three runs in ten innings, but the O's hitters could only score two.

They are now 17-31 in one-run games, exposing everyone who argued that they could duplicate their success in such games from last year (a 29-9 record) as foolish homers. The bullpen is just that much weaker and the offense is not able to get more timely hitting, especially in this September drought, to compensate for that.

The Orioles will be back in action on Wednesday night with nothing to play for but pride. Bud Norris starts the 7:05 game for the O's, with Esmil Rogers taking the mound for the Blue Jays.

Blue Jays 3 Orioles 2: Mark DeRosa plays hero

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Blue Jays 3 Orioles 2 (10 innings)

So we played spoiled, ending the slight chance that the Orioles had of making the playoffs.

Mark DeRosa played hero, driving home the tying run in the 8th, with a 2-out single and then knocking in the winning with 2 outs in the 10th, bringing home Jose Reyes both times. It is nice to get some 2-out hits.

Reyes was almost picked off second, before DeRosa had a chance to drive him in. He got a little too far off second and Orioles reliever Francisco Rodriguez threw to second in plenty of time but Reyes was able to avoid the tag, or at least the umpire thought so.

Todd Redmond didn't have a great night. He gave up 8 hits and 2 walks, in 5.1 innings but only allowed 2 runs, on back-to-back home runs to start the 3rd inning. He only had one clean inning, the first. And, strangely for him, he only had 2 strikeouts.

Our bullpen did a great job, putting up 4.1 scoreless innings. Luis Perez came in with 2 on and 2 outs, and got out of the inning and got the first 2 outs of the 7th. Gibby pulled him when he game up a single and brought in Dustin McGowan to get the 3rd out, and he pitched a clean 8th, getting 2 strikeouts. Sergio Santos had a perfect 9th, with 2 strikeouts and got the win. Casey Janssen allowed just a 2-out single, in the 10th, picking up his 34th save.

On offense we had 9 hits. 2 each for Jose Reyes, Adam Lind and Mark DeRosa, who game into the game in the 8th to pitch hit for Lind. Munenori Kawasaki, Anthony Gose and Ryan Goins had a hit each. Ryan drove in our first run, with an infield single, that he just beat out. He was lucky that Orioles' starter Chris Tilman deflected and slowed his ground ball, but he deserves credit for running it out hard.

Being a Jays game, of course we had an injury. Moises Sierra sprained his ankle, stepping in a soft area on the turf while going back for a fly ball. We get the strangest injuries. He's day-to-day, but I figure that he's likely done for the year.

Jays of the Day are DeRosa (.548 WPA), Reyes (.205), Janssen (.208), Santos (.142) and McGowan (.131).

Suckage: Lawrie (-.370, 0 for 5, 2 k), Arencibia (-.228, 0 for 4, 2 k) and Pillar (-.161, 0 for 4, 2 k).

5 games to go.

Poll Time: Best Catcher in Blue Jays History

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We did this a few years ago, and I figured we'd try it again, a series of polls on who was the best in team history at each position.

We'll start at catcher. I'm not going to campaign for any of them but I will mock you if you pick Greg Zaun.

Poll
Who was the Blue Jays Best Catcher?

  92 votes |Results

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